Arab Monetary Fund

Public debt and economic growth in Arab countries: structural or short-term benefits?

The way public debt affects economic growth in the Arab region is heterogeneous and depends on the country's income level group.

For middle- and high-income Arab countries, public debt helps improve long-term growth with a very limited impact in the short term.

There is no evidence that public debt improves economic growth in low-income Arab countries in the short or long term.

For all groups, the Arab countries' public debt is inefficient regarding investment.

Monitoring cross-border payment developments: a regional analysis of AMF member countries

This joint policy paper between the AMF and CPMI on “Monitoring cross-border payment developments: a regional analysis of AMF member countries” provides insights on the importance of cross-border payments for the region, evidenced by international remittances. It documents the status of payment system interoperability and extension, as well as legal, regulatory and supervisory aspects in the region at the launch of the cross-border payments programme.

The GDP–CO2 Emissions Nexus in Arab Countries

This research investigates the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) paradigm by assessing the link between real GDP per capita, renewable energy, energy prices, and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in selected Arab nations. In order to determine the extent of the association between the variables, the pooled mean group model is applied. According to the findings, real GDP per capita has a long-term positive effect on CO2 emissions, but quadratic GDP has a negative impact on CO2 emissions.

Analyzing the Policy Trilemma’s Options

This paper aims to examine some policy options related to the trilemma using data for 17 Arab countries over the period 1970 to 2021. It employs the panel least square method to figure out the impact of policy options on GDP growth as a dependent variable along with other explanatory variables. Interestingly, the paper finds that one of the three policy trilemma options has a propensity to be effective.

The Effect of Inflation Rates on Long-Run Economic Growth in Arab Countries

The recent upward inflation trends around the globe have raised concerns about the economic implications of such inflationary waves. In this regard, the study examines the impact of inflation rates on the long-run economic growth in Arab countries. In addition, the study uses the pooled mean group as an estimation method. Data covers 21 Arab countries for the period from 1990 to 2020 is used. The findings present evidence that inflation rates below certain threshold levels positively affect the long-run economic growth.